NHL Projected Standings & Title Odds

We simulate the rest of the season 10,000 times— playing out every remaining game with the model's win probabilities — to project each team's final record and its odds of finishing with the league's best record. Last run 2026-06-05.

#	Team	Now	Proj. wins	Best-record odds
1	Carolina HurricanesCAR	50-22	52.5(50–55)	80.4%
2	Colorado AvalancheCOL	51-16	51.0(51–51)	19.6%
3	Buffalo SabresBUF	49-23	49.0(49–49)	0.0%
4	Tampa Bay LightningTBL	48-25	48.0(48–48)	0.0%
5	Montréal CanadiensMTL	47-22	47.0(47–47)	0.0%
6	Dallas StarsDAL	46-20	46.0(46–46)	0.0%
7	Minnesota WildMIN	45-21	45.0(45–45)	0.0%
8	New York IslandersNYI	43-31	43.0(43–43)	0.0%
9	Boston BruinsBOS	43-26	43.0(43–43)	0.0%
10	Ottawa SenatorsOTT	42-27	42.0(42–42)	0.0%
11	Utah MammothUTA	41-30	41.0(41–41)	0.0%
12	Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT	41-22	41.0(41–41)	0.0%
13	Detroit Red WingsDET	41-29	41.0(41–41)	0.0%
14	Anaheim DucksANA	41-32	41.0(41–41)	0.0%
15	New Jersey DevilsNJD	40-36	40.0(40–40)	0.0%
16	Washington CapitalsWSH	40-30	40.0(40–40)	0.0%
17	Philadelphia FlyersPHI	40-27	40.0(40–40)	0.0%
18	Edmonton OilersEDM	40-29	40.0(40–40)	0.0%
19	Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ	39-28	39.0(39–39)	0.0%
20	Vegas Golden KnightsVGK	36-26	38.5(36–41)	0.0%
21	Florida PanthersFLA	37-38	37.0(37–37)	0.0%
22	San Jose SharksSJS	37-33	37.0(37–37)	0.0%
23	Nashville PredatorsNSH	37-31	37.0(37–37)	0.0%
24	Winnipeg JetsWPG	34-31	34.0(34–34)	0.0%
25	New York RangersNYR	33-37	33.0(33–33)	0.0%
26	St. Louis BluesSTL	33-32	33.0(33–33)	0.0%
27	Calgary FlamesCGY	32-36	32.0(32–32)	0.0%
28	Seattle KrakenSEA	32-34	32.0(32–32)	0.0%
29	Los Angeles KingsLAK	32-26	32.0(32–32)	0.0%
30	Toronto Maple LeafsTOR	32-33	32.0(32–32)	0.0%
31	Chicago BlackhawksCHI	28-36	28.0(28–28)	0.0%
32	Vancouver CanucksVAN	22-47	22.0(22–22)	0.0%

How the projection works

Starting from today's standings, the engine plays out every remaining game 10,000 times. Each game is decided by a coin flip weighted to the model's win probability for that matchup, so a 60% favorite wins ~60% of the simulations. Tallying the outcomes gives a projected win total (with a realistic range) and the share of simulations in which each team finishes with the best record — a clean, bias-free read on the title race.

NHL power rankings Standings