The Edge Board

Where the machine disagrees with the market. Our model grades every game across all four leagues, and these are today's biggest gaps between its win probability and the sportsbook's price. Value the books may be missing — not guarantees.

MLB

PHI @ MIL

Model backs PHI · 51% to win · market +215

+18.75% edge

Strong

MLB

LAD @ CWS

Model backs CWS · 49% to win · market +172

+12.01% edge

Strong

MLB

TB @ LAA

Model backs LAA · 50% to win · market +147

+9.06% edge

Strong

MLB

LAD @ CWS

Model backs CWS · 49% to win · market +147

+8.28% edge

Strong

MLB

DET @ CLE

Model backs CLE · 52% to win · market +128

+8.27% edge

Strong

MLB

COL @ ATH

Model backs COL · 43% to win · market +184

+8.1% edge

Strong

MLB

NYY @ TOR

Model backs TOR · 51% to win · market +122

+5.7% edge

Moderate

MLB

AZ @ CIN

Model backs CIN · 52% to win · market +116

+5.64% edge

Moderate

MLB

CHC @ SF

Model backs CHC · 51% to win · market +111

+3.6% edge

Slight

MLB

MIA @ PIT

Model backs MIA · 48% to win · market +126

+3.58% edge

Slight

MLB

ATL @ NYM

Model backs ATL · 51% to win · market +112

+3.41% edge

Slight

MLB

SD @ BAL

Model backs SD · 50% to win · market +115

+3.24% edge

Slight

This is the teaser board.

The per-league Edge Finder shows every edge with fair odds and Kelly stake sizing.

Edge Finder

What "edge" means here

For every upcoming game, the model produces a win probability independent of the betting market. We convert the sportsbook's moneyline into itsimplied probability and compare. When our number is meaningfully higher than the market's on a side, that gap — the "edge" — is where a bet has positive expected value if the model is right. Bigger gap, bigger rating. It's a starting point for research, not a lock.